Nauticus Robotics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.52
| KITT Stock | USD 0.91 0.05 5.81% |
Nauticus |
Nauticus Robotics Target Price Odds to finish below 16.52
The tendency of Nauticus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 16.52 after 90 days |
| 0.91 | 90 days | 16.52 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nauticus Robotics to stay under $ 16.52 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nauticus Robotics probability density function shows the probability of Nauticus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nauticus Robotics price to stay between its current price of $ 0.91 and $ 16.52 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nauticus Robotics has a beta of 0.81. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nauticus Robotics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nauticus Robotics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nauticus Robotics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nauticus Robotics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nauticus Robotics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nauticus Robotics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nauticus Robotics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nauticus Robotics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nauticus Robotics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nauticus Robotics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nauticus Robotics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nauticus Robotics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Nauticus Robotics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nauticus Robotics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nauticus Robotics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nauticus Robotics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nauticus Robotics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Nauticus Robotics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Nauticus Robotics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Nauticus Robotics currently holds 32.42 M in liabilities. Nauticus Robotics has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Nauticus Robotics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 6.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.69 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (428.9 K). | |
| Nauticus Robotics currently holds about 7.96 M in cash with (21.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.7, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Nauticus Robotics Secures 1M Convertible Debenture |
Nauticus Robotics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nauticus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nauticus Robotics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nauticus Robotics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 753.4 K |
Nauticus Robotics Technical Analysis
Nauticus Robotics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nauticus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nauticus Robotics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nauticus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nauticus Robotics Predictive Forecast Models
Nauticus Robotics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nauticus Robotics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nauticus Robotics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nauticus Robotics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nauticus Robotics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nauticus Robotics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nauticus Robotics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nauticus Robotics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Nauticus Robotics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Nauticus Robotics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Nauticus Robotics currently holds 32.42 M in liabilities. Nauticus Robotics has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Nauticus Robotics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 6.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.69 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (428.9 K). | |
| Nauticus Robotics currently holds about 7.96 M in cash with (21.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.7, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Nauticus Robotics Secures 1M Convertible Debenture |
Additional Tools for Nauticus Stock Analysis
When running Nauticus Robotics' price analysis, check to measure Nauticus Robotics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nauticus Robotics is operating at the current time. Most of Nauticus Robotics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nauticus Robotics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nauticus Robotics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nauticus Robotics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.