KGI Securities (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.19
| KGI Stock | THB 4.22 0.02 0.48% |
KGI |
KGI Securities Target Price Odds to finish below 1.19
The tendency of KGI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.19 or more in 90 days |
| 4.22 | 90 days | 1.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KGI Securities to drop to 1.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KGI Securities Public probability density function shows the probability of KGI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KGI Securities Public price to stay between 1.19 and its current price of 4.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KGI Securities has a beta of 0.0654. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KGI Securities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KGI Securities Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KGI Securities Public has an alpha of 0.0029, implying that it can generate a 0.002908 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KGI Securities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KGI Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KGI Securities Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KGI Securities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KGI Securities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KGI Securities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KGI Securities Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KGI Securities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
KGI Securities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KGI Securities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KGI Securities Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KGI Securities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KGI Securities has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| KGI Securities Public has accumulated about 8.4 B in cash with (701.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.22. | |
| Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
KGI Securities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KGI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KGI Securities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KGI Securities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B |
KGI Securities Technical Analysis
KGI Securities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KGI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KGI Securities Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing KGI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KGI Securities Predictive Forecast Models
KGI Securities' time-series forecasting models is one of many KGI Securities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KGI Securities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KGI Securities Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about KGI Securities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KGI Securities Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KGI Securities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KGI Securities has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| KGI Securities Public has accumulated about 8.4 B in cash with (701.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.22. | |
| Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in KGI Stock
KGI Securities financial ratios help investors to determine whether KGI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KGI with respect to the benefits of owning KGI Securities security.