Kinea Fundo (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 69.75
| KFOF11 Fund | BRL 75.64 0.89 1.19% |
Kinea |
Kinea Fundo Target Price Odds to finish over 69.75
The tendency of Kinea Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above R$ 69.75 in 90 days |
| 75.64 | 90 days | 69.75 | about 39.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinea Fundo to stay above R$ 69.75 in 90 days from now is about 39.28 (This Kinea Fundo Fundos probability density function shows the probability of Kinea Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinea Fundo Fundos price to stay between R$ 69.75 and its current price of R$75.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kinea Fundo Fundos has a beta of -0.098. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kinea Fundo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kinea Fundo Fundos is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kinea Fundo Fundos has an alpha of 0.2381, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kinea Fundo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kinea Fundo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinea Fundo Fundos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kinea Fundo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinea Fundo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinea Fundo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinea Fundo Fundos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinea Fundo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.32 |
Kinea Fundo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kinea Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kinea Fundo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinea Fundo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 4.22k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 5.66k |
Kinea Fundo Technical Analysis
Kinea Fundo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinea Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinea Fundo Fundos. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinea Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kinea Fundo Predictive Forecast Models
Kinea Fundo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinea Fundo's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinea Fundo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Kinea Fundo in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Kinea Fundo's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Kinea Fundo options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Kinea Fund
Kinea Fundo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinea Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinea with respect to the benefits of owning Kinea Fundo security.
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