ValOre Metals (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.032

KEQ0 Stock  EUR 0.05  0.0005  1.08%   
ValOre Metals' future price is the expected price of ValOre Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ValOre Metals Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ValOre Metals Backtesting, ValOre Metals Valuation, ValOre Metals Correlation, ValOre Metals Hype Analysis, ValOre Metals Volatility, ValOre Metals History as well as ValOre Metals Performance.
  
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ValOre Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.032

The tendency of ValOre Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.03 
about 20.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ValOre Metals to drop to € 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 20.04 (This ValOre Metals Corp probability density function shows the probability of ValOre Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ValOre Metals Corp price to stay between € 0.03  and its current price of €0.046 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.96 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ValOre Metals will likely underperform. In addition to that ValOre Metals Corp has an alpha of 2.005, implying that it can generate a 2.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ValOre Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ValOre Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ValOre Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0513.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0413.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.0413.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.05
Details

ValOre Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ValOre Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ValOre Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ValOre Metals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ValOre Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

ValOre Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ValOre Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ValOre Metals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ValOre Metals Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ValOre Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ValOre Metals Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ValOre Metals Corp has accumulated 2.24 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. ValOre Metals Corp has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ValOre Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ValOre Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ValOre Metals Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ValOre to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ValOre Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (18.33 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.68 K).
ValOre Metals Corp has accumulated about 74.28 K in cash with (17.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 25.0% of ValOre Metals outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

ValOre Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ValOre Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ValOre Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ValOre Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.7 M

ValOre Metals Technical Analysis

ValOre Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ValOre Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ValOre Metals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing ValOre Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ValOre Metals Predictive Forecast Models

ValOre Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many ValOre Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ValOre Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ValOre Metals Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about ValOre Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ValOre Metals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ValOre Metals Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ValOre Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ValOre Metals Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ValOre Metals Corp has accumulated 2.24 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. ValOre Metals Corp has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ValOre Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ValOre Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ValOre Metals Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ValOre to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ValOre Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (18.33 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.68 K).
ValOre Metals Corp has accumulated about 74.28 K in cash with (17.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 25.0% of ValOre Metals outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in ValOre Stock

ValOre Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether ValOre Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ValOre with respect to the benefits of owning ValOre Metals security.