Kraneshares Emerging Markets Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 10.33

KEMQ Etf  USD 17.06  0.00  0.00%   
KraneShares Emerging's future price is the expected price of KraneShares Emerging instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KraneShares Emerging Markets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KraneShares Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KraneShares Emerging Correlation, KraneShares Emerging Hype Analysis, KraneShares Emerging Volatility, KraneShares Emerging History as well as KraneShares Emerging Performance.
  
Please specify KraneShares Emerging's target price for which you would like KraneShares Emerging odds to be computed.

KraneShares Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 10.33

The tendency of KraneShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.33  or more in 90 days
 17.06 90 days 10.33 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KraneShares Emerging to drop to $ 10.33  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KraneShares Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of KraneShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KraneShares Emerging price to stay between $ 10.33  and its current price of $17.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.77 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KraneShares Emerging Markets has a beta of -0.34. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KraneShares Emerging are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KraneShares Emerging Markets is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KraneShares Emerging Markets has an alpha of 0.1409, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   KraneShares Emerging Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KraneShares Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8117.0619.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2317.4819.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8517.0919.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.8417.5318.21
Details

KraneShares Emerging Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KraneShares Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KraneShares Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KraneShares Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KraneShares Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

KraneShares Emerging Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KraneShares Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KraneShares Emerging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KraneShares Emerging created five year return of -5.0%
This fund maintains 99.51% of its assets in stocks

KraneShares Emerging Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KraneShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KraneShares Emerging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KraneShares Emerging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

KraneShares Emerging Technical Analysis

KraneShares Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KraneShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KraneShares Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing KraneShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KraneShares Emerging Predictive Forecast Models

KraneShares Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many KraneShares Emerging's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KraneShares Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KraneShares Emerging

Checking the ongoing alerts about KraneShares Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KraneShares Emerging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KraneShares Emerging created five year return of -5.0%
This fund maintains 99.51% of its assets in stocks
When determining whether KraneShares Emerging is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if KraneShares Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Kraneshares Emerging Markets Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Kraneshares Emerging Markets Etf:
The market value of KraneShares Emerging is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares Emerging's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares Emerging's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares Emerging's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares Emerging's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.