Key Energy Services Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0962
| KEGXDelisted Stock | USD 0.10 0.00 0.00% |
Key |
Key Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0962
The tendency of Key Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.1 in 90 days |
| 0.10 | 90 days | 0.1 | about 40.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Key Energy to stay above $ 0.1 in 90 days from now is about 40.53 (This Key Energy Services probability density function shows the probability of Key Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Key Energy Services price to stay between $ 0.1 and its current price of $0.1 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Key Energy will likely underperform. In addition to that Key Energy Services has an alpha of 196.6835, implying that it can generate a 196.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Key Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Key Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Key Energy Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Key Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Key Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Key Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Key Energy Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Key Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 196.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 95.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Key Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Key Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Key Energy Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Key Energy Services is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Key Energy Services has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Key Energy Services has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Key Energy Services currently holds 240.01 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Key Energy Services has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Key Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Key Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Key Energy Services sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Key to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Key Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 413.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (97.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.39 M. | |
| Key Energy Services currently holds about 4.54 M in cash with (29.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Key Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Key Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Key Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Key Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 408 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.4 M |
Key Energy Technical Analysis
Key Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Key Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Key Energy Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Key Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Key Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Key Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Key Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Key Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Key Energy Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about Key Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Key Energy Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Key Energy Services is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Key Energy Services has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Key Energy Services has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Key Energy Services currently holds 240.01 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Key Energy Services has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Key Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Key Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Key Energy Services sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Key to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Key Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 413.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (97.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.39 M. | |
| Key Energy Services currently holds about 4.54 M in cash with (29.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Other Consideration for investing in Key Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Key Energy Services check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Key Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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