Kat Exploration Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.0E-4
| KATX Stock | USD 0.0002 0.0001 33.33% |
KAT |
KAT Exploration Target Price Odds to finish below 3.0E-4
The tendency of KAT Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.0003 after 90 days |
| 0.0002 | 90 days | 0.0003 | about 24.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KAT Exploration to stay under $ 0.0003 after 90 days from now is about 24.93 (This KAT Exploration probability density function shows the probability of KAT Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KAT Exploration price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0002 and $ 0.0003 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.69 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 3.61 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, KAT Exploration will likely underperform. Additionally KAT Exploration has an alpha of 0.7003, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KAT Exploration Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KAT Exploration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KAT Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KAT Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KAT Exploration Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KAT Exploration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KAT Exploration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KAT Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KAT Exploration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000086 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
KAT Exploration Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KAT Exploration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KAT Exploration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KAT Exploration is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| KAT Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KAT Exploration appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| KAT Exploration currently holds 31.75 K in liabilities. KAT Exploration has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist KAT Exploration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, KAT Exploration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like KAT Exploration sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for KAT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about KAT Exploration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (13 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 142.45 K. |
KAT Exploration Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KAT Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KAT Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KAT Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B | |
| Shares Float | 1.8 B |
KAT Exploration Technical Analysis
KAT Exploration's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KAT Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KAT Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing KAT Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KAT Exploration Predictive Forecast Models
KAT Exploration's time-series forecasting models is one of many KAT Exploration's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KAT Exploration's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KAT Exploration
Checking the ongoing alerts about KAT Exploration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KAT Exploration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KAT Exploration is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| KAT Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KAT Exploration appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| KAT Exploration currently holds 31.75 K in liabilities. KAT Exploration has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist KAT Exploration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, KAT Exploration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like KAT Exploration sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for KAT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about KAT Exploration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (13 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 142.45 K. |
Additional Tools for KAT Pink Sheet Analysis
When running KAT Exploration's price analysis, check to measure KAT Exploration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KAT Exploration is operating at the current time. Most of KAT Exploration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KAT Exploration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KAT Exploration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KAT Exploration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.