Karnov Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 82.64
| KAR Stock | SEK 81.50 1.80 2.16% |
Karnov |
Karnov Group Target Price Odds to finish over 82.64
The tendency of Karnov Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over kr 82.64 or more in 90 days |
| 81.50 | 90 days | 82.64 | about 8.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Karnov Group to move over kr 82.64 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.02 (This Karnov Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Karnov Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Karnov Group AB price to stay between its current price of kr 81.50 and kr 82.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Karnov Group AB has a beta of -0.35. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Karnov Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Karnov Group AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Karnov Group AB has an alpha of 0.1295, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Karnov Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Karnov Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Karnov Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Karnov Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Karnov Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Karnov Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Karnov Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Karnov Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Karnov Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Karnov Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Karnov Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Karnov Group AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Karnov Group AB has accumulated 5.63 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 289.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Karnov Group AB has a current ratio of 0.35, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Karnov Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Karnov Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Karnov Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Karnov to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Karnov Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 84.0% of Karnov Group shares are owned by institutional investors |
Karnov Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Karnov Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Karnov Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Karnov Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 951.5 M |
Karnov Group Technical Analysis
Karnov Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Karnov Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Karnov Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Karnov Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Karnov Group Predictive Forecast Models
Karnov Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Karnov Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Karnov Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Karnov Group AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Karnov Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Karnov Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Karnov Group AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Karnov Group AB has accumulated 5.63 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 289.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Karnov Group AB has a current ratio of 0.35, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Karnov Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Karnov Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Karnov Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Karnov to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Karnov Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 84.0% of Karnov Group shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Karnov Stock Analysis
When running Karnov Group's price analysis, check to measure Karnov Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Karnov Group is operating at the current time. Most of Karnov Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Karnov Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Karnov Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Karnov Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.