El Nasr (Egypt) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.67

KABO Stock   3.91  0.05  1.26%   
El Nasr's future price is the expected price of El Nasr instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of El Nasr Clothes performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
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El Nasr Target Price Odds to finish over 12.67

The tendency of KABO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  12.67  or more in 90 days
 3.91 90 days 12.67 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of El Nasr to move over  12.67  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This El Nasr Clothes probability density function shows the probability of KABO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of El Nasr Clothes price to stay between its current price of  3.91  and  12.67  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon El Nasr Clothes has a beta of -0.0369. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding El Nasr are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, El Nasr Clothes is likely to outperform the market. Additionally El Nasr Clothes has an alpha of 0.693, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   El Nasr Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for El Nasr

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as El Nasr Clothes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

El Nasr Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. El Nasr is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the El Nasr's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold El Nasr Clothes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of El Nasr within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

El Nasr Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of El Nasr for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for El Nasr Clothes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
El Nasr Clothes appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

El Nasr Technical Analysis

El Nasr's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KABO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of El Nasr Clothes. In general, you should focus on analyzing KABO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

El Nasr Predictive Forecast Models

El Nasr's time-series forecasting models is one of many El Nasr's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary El Nasr's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about El Nasr Clothes

Checking the ongoing alerts about El Nasr for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for El Nasr Clothes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
El Nasr Clothes appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues