JS Investments (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.98
| JSIL Stock | 24.67 0.97 4.09% |
JSIL |
JS Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 12.98
The tendency of JSIL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 12.98 or more in 90 days |
| 24.67 | 90 days | 12.98 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JS Investments to drop to 12.98 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JS Investments probability density function shows the probability of JSIL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JS Investments price to stay between 12.98 and its current price of 24.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JS Investments has a beta of -0.22. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JS Investments are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JS Investments is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JS Investments has an alpha of 0.8462, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JS Investments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JS Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JS Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JS Investments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JS Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JS Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JS Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JS Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
JS Investments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JS Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JS Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JS Investments had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
JS Investments Technical Analysis
JS Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JSIL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JS Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing JSIL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JS Investments Predictive Forecast Models
JS Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many JS Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JS Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JS Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about JS Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JS Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JS Investments had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in JSIL Stock
JS Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether JSIL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JSIL with respect to the benefits of owning JS Investments security.