Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 32.75

JPTBX Fund  USD 34.81  0.14  0.40%   
Jpmorgan Smartretirement*'s future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Smartretirement* instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Correlation, Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Volatility, Jpmorgan Smartretirement* History as well as Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Performance.
  
Please specify Jpmorgan Smartretirement*'s target price for which you would like Jpmorgan Smartretirement* odds to be computed.

Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Target Price Odds to finish over 32.75

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 32.75  in 90 days
 34.81 90 days 32.75 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Smartretirement* to stay above $ 32.75  in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Smartretirement* price to stay between $ 32.75  and its current price of $34.81 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend has a beta of -0.005. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jpmorgan Smartretirement* are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend has an alpha of 0.0571, implying that it can generate a 0.0571 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Smartretirement*

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Smartretirement*. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.0034.6335.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.5433.1738.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.1334.7635.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.9734.2834.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Smartretirement*. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Smartretirement*'s peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Smartretirement*'s competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jpmorgan Smartretirement*.

Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Smartretirement* is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Smartretirement*'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Smartretirement* within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.005
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Smartretirement* for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Smartretirement* can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Smartretirement*'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Smartretirement* Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Smartretirement*'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Smartretirement*'s mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Smartretirement*'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Smartretirement*

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Smartretirement* for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Smartretirement* help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund

Jpmorgan Smartretirement* financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan Smartretirement* security.
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments