JPM America (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 397.19
| JPJA Fund | EUR 436.89 0.79 0.18% |
JPM |
JPM America Target Price Odds to finish over 397.19
The tendency of JPM Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 397.19 in 90 days |
| 436.89 | 90 days | 397.19 | about 92.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPM America to stay above € 397.19 in 90 days from now is about 92.18 (This JPM America Equity probability density function shows the probability of JPM Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPM America Equity price to stay between € 397.19 and its current price of €436.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPM America Equity has a beta of -0.35. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JPM America are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JPM America Equity is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JPM America Equity has an alpha of 0.1413, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPM America Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JPM America
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPM America Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPM America Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPM America is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPM America's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPM America Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPM America within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
JPM America Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPM America for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPM America Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JPM America Equity is not yet fully synchronised with the market data |
JPM America Technical Analysis
JPM America's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPM Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPM America Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPM Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPM America Predictive Forecast Models
JPM America's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPM America's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPM America's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JPM America Equity
Checking the ongoing alerts about JPM America for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPM America Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JPM America Equity is not yet fully synchronised with the market data |
Other Information on Investing in JPM Fund
JPM America financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPM Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPM with respect to the benefits of owning JPM America security.
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