JPMF Global (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 13.02
| JP5B Fund | EUR 12.35 0.00 0.00% |
JPMF |
JPMF Global Target Price Odds to finish below 13.02
The tendency of JPMF Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 13.02 after 90 days |
| 12.35 | 90 days | 13.02 | about 40.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMF Global to stay under € 13.02 after 90 days from now is about 40.01 (This JPMF Global Natural probability density function shows the probability of JPMF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMF Global Natural price to stay between its current price of € 12.35 and € 13.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPMF Global has a beta of 0.35. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JPMF Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPMF Global Natural will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JPMF Global Natural has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JPMF Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JPMF Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMF Global Natural. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPMF Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMF Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMF Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMF Global Natural, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMF Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
JPMF Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMF Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMF Global Natural can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JPMF Global Natural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
JPMF Global Technical Analysis
JPMF Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMF Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMF Global Natural. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMF Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPMF Global Predictive Forecast Models
JPMF Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMF Global's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMF Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JPMF Global Natural
Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMF Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMF Global Natural help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JPMF Global Natural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in JPMF Fund
JPMF Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPMF Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPMF with respect to the benefits of owning JPMF Global security.
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