MaxLinear (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.73
| JMX Stock | EUR 19.88 0.55 2.85% |
MaxLinear |
MaxLinear Target Price Odds to finish over 18.73
The tendency of MaxLinear Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 18.73 in 90 days |
| 19.88 | 90 days | 18.73 | about 9.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MaxLinear to stay above € 18.73 in 90 days from now is about 9.2 (This MaxLinear probability density function shows the probability of MaxLinear Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MaxLinear price to stay between € 18.73 and its current price of €19.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MaxLinear has a beta of -0.69. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MaxLinear are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MaxLinear is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MaxLinear has an alpha of 0.8335, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MaxLinear Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MaxLinear
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MaxLinear. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MaxLinear Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MaxLinear is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MaxLinear's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MaxLinear, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MaxLinear within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
MaxLinear Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MaxLinear for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MaxLinear can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MaxLinear appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company has €121.76 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
MaxLinear Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MaxLinear Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MaxLinear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MaxLinear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.7 M |
MaxLinear Technical Analysis
MaxLinear's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MaxLinear Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MaxLinear. In general, you should focus on analyzing MaxLinear Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MaxLinear Predictive Forecast Models
MaxLinear's time-series forecasting models is one of many MaxLinear's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MaxLinear's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MaxLinear
Checking the ongoing alerts about MaxLinear for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MaxLinear help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MaxLinear appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company has €121.76 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in MaxLinear Stock
When determining whether MaxLinear is a strong investment it is important to analyze MaxLinear's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MaxLinear's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MaxLinear Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out MaxLinear Backtesting, MaxLinear Valuation, MaxLinear Correlation, MaxLinear Hype Analysis, MaxLinear Volatility, MaxLinear History as well as MaxLinear Performance. For more detail on how to invest in MaxLinear Stock please use our How to Invest in MaxLinear guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.