Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 13.87

JLS Etf  USD 18.72  0.12  0.64%   
Nuveen Mortgage's future price is the expected price of Nuveen Mortgage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nuveen Mortgage Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nuveen Mortgage Correlation, Nuveen Mortgage Hype Analysis, Nuveen Mortgage Volatility, Nuveen Mortgage History as well as Nuveen Mortgage Performance.
  
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Nuveen Mortgage Target Price Odds to finish below 13.87

The tendency of Nuveen Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.87  or more in 90 days
 18.72 90 days 13.87 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuveen Mortgage to drop to $ 13.87  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity probability density function shows the probability of Nuveen Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuveen Mortgage Oppo price to stay between $ 13.87  and its current price of $18.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity has a beta of -0.0682. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nuveen Mortgage are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity has an alpha of 0.0874, implying that it can generate a 0.0874 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nuveen Mortgage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nuveen Mortgage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Mortgage Oppo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2218.7119.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.1318.6219.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.2618.7519.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.7218.2618.81
Details

Nuveen Mortgage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuveen Mortgage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuveen Mortgage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuveen Mortgage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Nuveen Mortgage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuveen Mortgage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuveen Mortgage Oppo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Nuveen Mortgage and Income Fund declares 0.1535 dividend

Nuveen Mortgage Technical Analysis

Nuveen Mortgage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuveen Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuveen Mortgage Opportunity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuveen Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nuveen Mortgage Predictive Forecast Models

Nuveen Mortgage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuveen Mortgage's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuveen Mortgage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nuveen Mortgage Oppo

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuveen Mortgage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuveen Mortgage Oppo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Nuveen Mortgage and Income Fund declares 0.1535 dividend

Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Etf

Nuveen Mortgage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Mortgage security.