Jaguar Global Growth Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.44

JGGCDelisted Stock  USD 10.61  0.29  2.66%   
Jaguar Global's future price is the expected price of Jaguar Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jaguar Global Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Jaguar Global's target price for which you would like Jaguar Global odds to be computed.

Jaguar Global Target Price Odds to finish below 10.44

The tendency of Jaguar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.44  or more in 90 days
 10.61 90 days 10.44 
about 11.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jaguar Global to drop to $ 10.44  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.05 (This Jaguar Global Growth probability density function shows the probability of Jaguar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jaguar Global Growth price to stay between $ 10.44  and its current price of $10.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Jaguar Global Growth has a beta of -0.0943. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jaguar Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jaguar Global Growth is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jaguar Global Growth has an alpha of 0.0308, implying that it can generate a 0.0308 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jaguar Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jaguar Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jaguar Global Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6110.6110.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.069.0611.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6010.6010.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5810.5910.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jaguar Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jaguar Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jaguar Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jaguar Global Growth.

Jaguar Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jaguar Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jaguar Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jaguar Global Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jaguar Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Jaguar Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jaguar Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jaguar Global Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jaguar Global Growth is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Jaguar Global Growth has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Jaguar Global Growthhas  160,389  shares shorted by Jaguar Global investors is about 100% of outstending shares
Jaguar Global Growth currently holds 250 K in liabilities. Jaguar Global Growth has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Jaguar Global's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Jaguar Global Growth currently holds about 894.94 K in cash with (1.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

Jaguar Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jaguar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jaguar Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jaguar Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments640.6 K

Jaguar Global Technical Analysis

Jaguar Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jaguar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jaguar Global Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jaguar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jaguar Global Predictive Forecast Models

Jaguar Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jaguar Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jaguar Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jaguar Global Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jaguar Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jaguar Global Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jaguar Global Growth is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Jaguar Global Growth has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Jaguar Global Growthhas  160,389  shares shorted by Jaguar Global investors is about 100% of outstending shares
Jaguar Global Growth currently holds 250 K in liabilities. Jaguar Global Growth has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Jaguar Global's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Jaguar Global Growth currently holds about 894.94 K in cash with (1.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Other Consideration for investing in Jaguar Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Jaguar Global Growth check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Jaguar Global's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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