Judo Capital (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.03
| JDO Stock | 1.91 0.01 0.52% |
Judo |
Judo Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 2.03
The tendency of Judo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2.03 after 90 days |
| 1.91 | 90 days | 2.03 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Judo Capital to stay under 2.03 after 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Judo Capital Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Judo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Judo Capital Holdings price to stay between its current price of 1.91 and 2.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Judo Capital has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Judo Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Judo Capital Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Judo Capital Holdings has an alpha of 0.1203, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Judo Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Judo Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Judo Capital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Judo Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Judo Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Judo Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Judo Capital Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Judo Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Judo Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Judo Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Judo Capital Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Judo Capital may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Judo Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Judo Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Judo Capital Announces New Quotation on ASX - TipRanks |
Judo Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Judo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Judo Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Judo Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 654.6 M |
Judo Capital Technical Analysis
Judo Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Judo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Judo Capital Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Judo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Judo Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Judo Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Judo Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Judo Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Judo Capital Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Judo Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Judo Capital Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Judo Capital may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Judo Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Judo Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Judo Capital Announces New Quotation on ASX - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Judo Stock Analysis
When running Judo Capital's price analysis, check to measure Judo Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Judo Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Judo Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Judo Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Judo Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Judo Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.