Jack Chia (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 77.64
| JCT Stock | THB 80.75 0.50 0.62% |
Jack |
Jack Chia Target Price Odds to finish below 77.64
The tendency of Jack Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 77.64 or more in 90 days |
| 80.75 | 90 days | 77.64 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jack Chia to drop to 77.64 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jack Chia Industries probability density function shows the probability of Jack Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jack Chia Industries price to stay between 77.64 and its current price of 80.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jack Chia Industries has a beta of -0.069. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jack Chia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jack Chia Industries is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jack Chia Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jack Chia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jack Chia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jack Chia Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jack Chia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jack Chia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jack Chia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jack Chia Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jack Chia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0072 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Jack Chia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jack Chia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jack Chia Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jack Chia Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jack Chia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jack Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jack Chia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jack Chia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.5 M |
Jack Chia Technical Analysis
Jack Chia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jack Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jack Chia Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jack Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jack Chia Predictive Forecast Models
Jack Chia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jack Chia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jack Chia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jack Chia Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jack Chia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jack Chia Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jack Chia Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jack Stock
Jack Chia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jack Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jack with respect to the benefits of owning Jack Chia security.