Alternative Asset Allocation Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.03

JAACX Fund  USD 16.23  0.01  0.06%   
Alternative Asset's future price is the expected price of Alternative Asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alternative Asset Allocation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alternative Asset Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Alternative Asset Correlation, Alternative Asset Hype Analysis, Alternative Asset Volatility, Alternative Asset History as well as Alternative Asset Performance.
  
Please specify Alternative Asset's target price for which you would like Alternative Asset odds to be computed.

Alternative Asset Target Price Odds to finish below 16.03

The tendency of Alternative Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 16.03  or more in 90 days
 16.23 90 days 16.03 
about 28.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alternative Asset to drop to $ 16.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.75 (This Alternative Asset Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Alternative Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alternative Asset price to stay between $ 16.03  and its current price of $16.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alternative Asset has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Alternative Asset average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alternative Asset Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alternative Asset Allocation has an alpha of 0.0011, implying that it can generate a 0.001089 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alternative Asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alternative Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternative Asset. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alternative Asset's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0416.2316.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7114.9017.85
Details

Alternative Asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alternative Asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alternative Asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alternative Asset Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alternative Asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.57

Alternative Asset Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alternative Asset for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alternative Asset can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 34.27% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Alternative Asset Technical Analysis

Alternative Asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alternative Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alternative Asset Allocation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alternative Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alternative Asset Predictive Forecast Models

Alternative Asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alternative Asset's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alternative Asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alternative Asset

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alternative Asset for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alternative Asset help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 34.27% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Alternative Mutual Fund

Alternative Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alternative Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alternative with respect to the benefits of owning Alternative Asset security.
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing