Ianthus Capital Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.000054
| ITHUF Stock | USD 0.01 0.0004 8.00% |
IAnthus |
IAnthus Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.000054
The tendency of IAnthus Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.000054 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.000054 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IAnthus Capital to drop to $ 0.000054 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This iAnthus Capital Holdings probability density function shows the probability of IAnthus Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of iAnthus Capital Holdings price to stay between $ 0.000054 and its current price of $0.0054 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon iAnthus Capital Holdings has a beta of -2.15. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding iAnthus Capital Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, IAnthus Capital is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally IAnthus Capital Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. IAnthus Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IAnthus Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iAnthus Capital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IAnthus Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IAnthus Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IAnthus Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IAnthus Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iAnthus Capital Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IAnthus Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
IAnthus Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IAnthus Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iAnthus Capital Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IAnthus Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| IAnthus Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| IAnthus Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| iAnthus Capital Holdings has accumulated 28 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.48, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. iAnthus Capital Holdings has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist IAnthus Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IAnthus Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like iAnthus Capital Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IAnthus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IAnthus Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 203.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (76.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 111.28 M. | |
| Over 89.0% of IAnthus Capital shares are owned by institutional investors |
IAnthus Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IAnthus Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IAnthus Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IAnthus Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.2 M |
IAnthus Capital Technical Analysis
IAnthus Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IAnthus Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iAnthus Capital Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing IAnthus Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IAnthus Capital Predictive Forecast Models
IAnthus Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many IAnthus Capital's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IAnthus Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about iAnthus Capital Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about IAnthus Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iAnthus Capital Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IAnthus Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| IAnthus Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| IAnthus Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| iAnthus Capital Holdings has accumulated 28 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.48, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. iAnthus Capital Holdings has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist IAnthus Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IAnthus Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like iAnthus Capital Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IAnthus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IAnthus Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 203.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (76.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 111.28 M. | |
| Over 89.0% of IAnthus Capital shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in IAnthus Pink Sheet
IAnthus Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether IAnthus Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IAnthus with respect to the benefits of owning IAnthus Capital security.