Ironveld Plc (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0315

IRON Stock   0.04  0  2.74%   
Ironveld Plc's future price is the expected price of Ironveld Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ironveld Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ironveld Plc Backtesting, Ironveld Plc Valuation, Ironveld Plc Correlation, Ironveld Plc Hype Analysis, Ironveld Plc Volatility, Ironveld Plc History as well as Ironveld Plc Performance.
  
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Ironveld Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0315

The tendency of Ironveld Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.03 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ironveld Plc to drop to  0.03  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ironveld Plc probability density function shows the probability of Ironveld Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ironveld Plc price to stay between  0.03  and its current price of 0.0375 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ironveld Plc has a beta of -0.43. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ironveld Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ironveld Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ironveld Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ironveld Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ironveld Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ironveld Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.042.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.032.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.042.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.040.04
Details

Ironveld Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ironveld Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ironveld Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ironveld Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ironveld Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Ironveld Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ironveld Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ironveld Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ironveld Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ironveld Plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 103 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Ironveld Plc generates negative cash flow from operations
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ironveld PLC sees shift in major holdings By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria

Ironveld Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ironveld Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ironveld Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ironveld Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments19 K

Ironveld Plc Technical Analysis

Ironveld Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ironveld Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ironveld Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ironveld Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ironveld Plc Predictive Forecast Models

Ironveld Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ironveld Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ironveld Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ironveld Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ironveld Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ironveld Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ironveld Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ironveld Plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 103 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Ironveld Plc generates negative cash flow from operations
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ironveld PLC sees shift in major holdings By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria

Additional Tools for Ironveld Stock Analysis

When running Ironveld Plc's price analysis, check to measure Ironveld Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ironveld Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Ironveld Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ironveld Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ironveld Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ironveld Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.