Voya Retirement Moderate Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.38
| IRMGX Fund | USD 11.03 0.01 0.09% |
Voya |
Voya Retirement Target Price Odds to finish over 12.38
The tendency of Voya Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.38 or more in 90 days |
| 11.03 | 90 days | 12.38 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Voya Retirement to move over $ 12.38 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Voya Retirement Moderate probability density function shows the probability of Voya Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Voya Retirement Moderate price to stay between its current price of $ 11.03 and $ 12.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Voya Retirement has a beta of 0.0877. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Voya Retirement average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Voya Retirement Moderate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Voya Retirement Moderate has an alpha of 0.0039, implying that it can generate a 0.003898 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Voya Retirement Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Voya Retirement
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Retirement Moderate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Voya Retirement Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Voya Retirement is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Voya Retirement's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Voya Retirement Moderate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Voya Retirement within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Voya Retirement Technical Analysis
Voya Retirement's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Voya Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Voya Retirement Moderate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Voya Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Voya Retirement Predictive Forecast Models
Voya Retirement's time-series forecasting models is one of many Voya Retirement's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Voya Retirement's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Voya Retirement in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Voya Retirement's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Voya Retirement options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Voya Mutual Fund
Voya Retirement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Voya Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Voya with respect to the benefits of owning Voya Retirement security.
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