Ingersoll Rand Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 82.62

IR Stock  USD 103.95  0.29  0.28%   
Ingersoll Rand's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Ingersoll Rand. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Ingersoll Rand based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Ingersoll Rand over a specific time period. For example, IR Option Call 20-12-2024 105 is a CALL option contract on Ingersoll Rand's common stock with a strick price of 105.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-22 at 11:19:51 for $2.35 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.0, and an ask price of $3.1. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All Ingersoll options

Closest to current price Ingersoll long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Ingersoll Rand's future price is the expected price of Ingersoll Rand instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ingersoll Rand performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ingersoll Rand Backtesting, Ingersoll Rand Valuation, Ingersoll Rand Correlation, Ingersoll Rand Hype Analysis, Ingersoll Rand Volatility, Ingersoll Rand History as well as Ingersoll Rand Performance.
To learn how to invest in Ingersoll Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ingersoll Rand guide.
  
At this time, Ingersoll Rand's Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/04/2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 42.21, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop 0.79. Please specify Ingersoll Rand's target price for which you would like Ingersoll Rand odds to be computed.

Ingersoll Rand Target Price Odds to finish below 82.62

The tendency of Ingersoll Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 82.62  or more in 90 days
 103.95 90 days 82.62 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ingersoll Rand to drop to $ 82.62  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ingersoll Rand probability density function shows the probability of Ingersoll Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ingersoll Rand price to stay between $ 82.62  and its current price of $103.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.0 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ingersoll Rand will likely underperform. Additionally Ingersoll Rand has an alpha of 0.056, implying that it can generate a 0.056 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ingersoll Rand Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ingersoll Rand

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ingersoll Rand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.92104.41105.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.7176.20114.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
100.27101.76103.26
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
68.5075.2783.55
Details

Ingersoll Rand Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ingersoll Rand is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ingersoll Rand's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ingersoll Rand, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ingersoll Rand within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.40
σ
Overall volatility
5.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Ingersoll Rand Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ingersoll Rand for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ingersoll Rand can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Acquisition by Santiago Duval of 483 shares of Ingersoll Rand subject to Rule 16b-3

Ingersoll Rand Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ingersoll Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ingersoll Rand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ingersoll Rand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding409 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Ingersoll Rand Technical Analysis

Ingersoll Rand's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ingersoll Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ingersoll Rand. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ingersoll Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ingersoll Rand Predictive Forecast Models

Ingersoll Rand's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ingersoll Rand's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ingersoll Rand's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ingersoll Rand

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ingersoll Rand for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ingersoll Rand help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Acquisition by Santiago Duval of 483 shares of Ingersoll Rand subject to Rule 16b-3

Additional Tools for Ingersoll Stock Analysis

When running Ingersoll Rand's price analysis, check to measure Ingersoll Rand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ingersoll Rand is operating at the current time. Most of Ingersoll Rand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ingersoll Rand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ingersoll Rand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ingersoll Rand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.