GMO Internet (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.92
| IQ3 Stock | EUR 16.10 0.10 0.63% |
GMO |
GMO Internet Target Price Odds to finish over 16.92
The tendency of GMO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 16.92 or more in 90 days |
| 16.10 | 90 days | 16.92 | about 21.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GMO Internet to move over € 16.92 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.82 (This GMO Internet probability density function shows the probability of GMO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GMO Internet price to stay between its current price of € 16.10 and € 16.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GMO Internet has a beta of -1.22. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding GMO Internet are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, GMO Internet is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover GMO Internet has an alpha of 1.6923, implying that it can generate a 1.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GMO Internet Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GMO Internet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GMO Internet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GMO Internet Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GMO Internet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GMO Internet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GMO Internet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GMO Internet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.69 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
GMO Internet Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GMO Internet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GMO Internet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GMO Internet has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| GMO Internet has accumulated about 3.68 B in cash with (23.78 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 31.99, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
GMO Internet Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GMO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GMO Internet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GMO Internet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.6 M |
GMO Internet Technical Analysis
GMO Internet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GMO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GMO Internet. In general, you should focus on analyzing GMO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GMO Internet Predictive Forecast Models
GMO Internet's time-series forecasting models is one of many GMO Internet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GMO Internet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GMO Internet
Checking the ongoing alerts about GMO Internet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GMO Internet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GMO Internet has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| GMO Internet has accumulated about 3.68 B in cash with (23.78 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 31.99, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in GMO Stock
GMO Internet financial ratios help investors to determine whether GMO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GMO with respect to the benefits of owning GMO Internet security.