Imperial Metals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.31
| IPMLF Stock | USD 1.37 0.01 0.74% |
Imperial |
Imperial Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 1.31
The tendency of Imperial Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.31 in 90 days |
| 1.37 | 90 days | 1.31 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Imperial Metals to stay above $ 1.31 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Imperial Metals probability density function shows the probability of Imperial Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Imperial Metals price to stay between $ 1.31 and its current price of $1.37 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Imperial Metals has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Imperial Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Imperial Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Imperial Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Imperial Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Imperial Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imperial Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Imperial Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Imperial Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Imperial Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Imperial Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Imperial Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Imperial Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Imperial Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Imperial Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Imperial Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Imperial Metals may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Imperial Metals has accumulated 2.58 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.13, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Imperial Metals has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Imperial Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Imperial Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Imperial Metals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Imperial to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Imperial Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 133.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (921 K). | |
| About 49.0% of Imperial Metals shares are held by company insiders |
Imperial Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Imperial Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Imperial Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Imperial Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 141.4 M |
Imperial Metals Technical Analysis
Imperial Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Imperial Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Imperial Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Imperial Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Imperial Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Imperial Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Imperial Metals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Imperial Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Imperial Metals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Imperial Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Imperial Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Imperial Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Imperial Metals may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Imperial Metals has accumulated 2.58 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.13, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Imperial Metals has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Imperial Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Imperial Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Imperial Metals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Imperial to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Imperial Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 133.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (921 K). | |
| About 49.0% of Imperial Metals shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Imperial Pink Sheet
Imperial Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Imperial Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Imperial with respect to the benefits of owning Imperial Metals security.