Ipg Photonics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.17

IPGP Stock  USD 73.84  0.61  0.82%   
IPG Photonics' future price is the expected price of IPG Photonics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IPG Photonics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IPG Photonics Backtesting, IPG Photonics Valuation, IPG Photonics Correlation, IPG Photonics Hype Analysis, IPG Photonics Volatility, IPG Photonics History as well as IPG Photonics Performance.
To learn how to invest in IPG Stock, please use our How to Invest in IPG Photonics guide.
  
At this time, IPG Photonics' Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/22/2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 28.97, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 3.78. Please specify IPG Photonics' target price for which you would like IPG Photonics odds to be computed.

IPG Photonics Target Price Odds to finish below 90.17

The tendency of IPG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 90.17  after 90 days
 73.84 90 days 90.17 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IPG Photonics to stay under $ 90.17  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This IPG Photonics probability density function shows the probability of IPG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IPG Photonics price to stay between its current price of $ 73.84  and $ 90.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, IPG Photonics will likely underperform. Additionally IPG Photonics has an alpha of 0.0506, implying that it can generate a 0.0506 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IPG Photonics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IPG Photonics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IPG Photonics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.7474.0876.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.4685.8388.17
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
117.54129.17143.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.04-1.01-0.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IPG Photonics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IPG Photonics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IPG Photonics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IPG Photonics.

IPG Photonics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IPG Photonics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IPG Photonics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IPG Photonics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IPG Photonics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
3.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

IPG Photonics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IPG Photonics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IPG Photonics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IPG Photonics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Semiconductor Manufacturing Stocks Q3 Earnings Marvell Technology Firing on All Cylinders

IPG Photonics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IPG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IPG Photonics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IPG Photonics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

IPG Photonics Technical Analysis

IPG Photonics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IPG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IPG Photonics. In general, you should focus on analyzing IPG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IPG Photonics Predictive Forecast Models

IPG Photonics' time-series forecasting models is one of many IPG Photonics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IPG Photonics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IPG Photonics

Checking the ongoing alerts about IPG Photonics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IPG Photonics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IPG Photonics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Semiconductor Manufacturing Stocks Q3 Earnings Marvell Technology Firing on All Cylinders

Additional Tools for IPG Stock Analysis

When running IPG Photonics' price analysis, check to measure IPG Photonics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IPG Photonics is operating at the current time. Most of IPG Photonics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IPG Photonics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IPG Photonics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IPG Photonics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.