Ipg Photonics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 84.36
| IPGP Stock | USD 73.42 2.99 3.91% |
IPG |
IPG Photonics Target Price Odds to finish over 84.36
The tendency of IPG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 84.36 or more in 90 days |
| 73.42 | 90 days | 84.36 | about 1.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IPG Photonics to move over $ 84.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.29 (This IPG Photonics probability density function shows the probability of IPG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IPG Photonics price to stay between its current price of $ 73.42 and $ 84.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.12 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IPG Photonics has a beta of 0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, IPG Photonics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IPG Photonics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IPG Photonics has an alpha of 0.0735, implying that it can generate a 0.0735 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). IPG Photonics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for IPG Photonics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IPG Photonics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IPG Photonics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IPG Photonics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IPG Photonics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IPG Photonics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IPG Photonics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
IPG Photonics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IPG Photonics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IPG Photonics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IPG Photonics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: IPG Photonics Corp Shares Gap Down to 73.62 on Dec 27 |
IPG Photonics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IPG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IPG Photonics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IPG Photonics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
IPG Photonics Technical Analysis
IPG Photonics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IPG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IPG Photonics. In general, you should focus on analyzing IPG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IPG Photonics Predictive Forecast Models
IPG Photonics' time-series forecasting models is one of many IPG Photonics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IPG Photonics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IPG Photonics
Checking the ongoing alerts about IPG Photonics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IPG Photonics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IPG Photonics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: IPG Photonics Corp Shares Gap Down to 73.62 on Dec 27 |
Additional Tools for IPG Stock Analysis
When running IPG Photonics' price analysis, check to measure IPG Photonics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IPG Photonics is operating at the current time. Most of IPG Photonics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IPG Photonics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IPG Photonics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IPG Photonics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.