Infraset Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.35

INSET Stock  THB 3.40  0.08  2.30%   
Infraset Public's future price is the expected price of Infraset Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Infraset Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Infraset Public Backtesting, Infraset Public Valuation, Infraset Public Correlation, Infraset Public Hype Analysis, Infraset Public Volatility, Infraset Public History as well as Infraset Public Performance.
  
Please specify Infraset Public's target price for which you would like Infraset Public odds to be computed.

Infraset Public Target Price Odds to finish over 4.35

The tendency of Infraset Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.35  or more in 90 days
 3.40 90 days 4.35 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Infraset Public to move over  4.35  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Infraset Public probability density function shows the probability of Infraset Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Infraset Public price to stay between its current price of  3.40  and  4.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Infraset Public has a beta of 0.38. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Infraset Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Infraset Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Infraset Public has an alpha of 0.702, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Infraset Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Infraset Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infraset Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Infraset Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.488.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.197.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.307.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.153.303.45
Details

Infraset Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Infraset Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Infraset Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Infraset Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Infraset Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Infraset Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Infraset Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Infraset Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Infraset Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Infraset Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Infraset Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Infraset Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infraset Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding924 M

Infraset Public Technical Analysis

Infraset Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Infraset Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Infraset Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Infraset Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Infraset Public Predictive Forecast Models

Infraset Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Infraset Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Infraset Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Infraset Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Infraset Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Infraset Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Infraset Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Infraset Stock

Infraset Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Infraset Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Infraset with respect to the benefits of owning Infraset Public security.