Royalindo Investa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 96.61
| INDO Stock | IDR 110.00 3.00 2.80% |
Royalindo |
Royalindo Investa Target Price Odds to finish below 96.61
The tendency of Royalindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 96.61 or more in 90 days |
| 110.00 | 90 days | 96.61 | about 1.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royalindo Investa to drop to 96.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.42 (This Royalindo Investa Wijaya probability density function shows the probability of Royalindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Royalindo Investa Wijaya price to stay between 96.61 and its current price of 110.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Royalindo Investa Wijaya has a beta of -0.0338. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Royalindo Investa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Royalindo Investa Wijaya is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Royalindo Investa Wijaya has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Royalindo Investa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Royalindo Investa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royalindo Investa Wijaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Royalindo Investa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royalindo Investa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royalindo Investa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royalindo Investa Wijaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royalindo Investa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Royalindo Investa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royalindo Investa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royalindo Investa Wijaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Royalindo Investa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Royalindo Investa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royalindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royalindo Investa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royalindo Investa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 619.8 B |
Royalindo Investa Technical Analysis
Royalindo Investa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royalindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royalindo Investa Wijaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royalindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Royalindo Investa Predictive Forecast Models
Royalindo Investa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royalindo Investa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royalindo Investa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Royalindo Investa Wijaya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Royalindo Investa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royalindo Investa Wijaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Royalindo Investa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Royalindo Stock
Royalindo Investa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Royalindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Royalindo with respect to the benefits of owning Royalindo Investa security.