International Money Express Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.38
| IMXI Stock | USD 20.83 0.24 1.17% |
International |
International Money Target Price Odds to finish below 15.38
The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.38 or more in 90 days |
| 20.83 | 90 days | 15.38 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Money to drop to $ 15.38 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This International Money Express probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Money price to stay between $ 15.38 and its current price of $20.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.4 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days International Money has a beta of 0.36. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, International Money average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding International Money Express will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally International Money Express has an alpha of 0.1787, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). International Money Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for International Money
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Money. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of International Money's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
International Money Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Money is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Money's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Money Express, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Money within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
International Money Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Money for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Money can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Investors in International Money Express have seen notable returns of 71 percent over the past five years |
International Money Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Money's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Money's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 239.2 M |
International Money Technical Analysis
International Money's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Money Express. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
International Money Predictive Forecast Models
International Money's time-series forecasting models is one of many International Money's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Money's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.