Invesco International Developed Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 22.66
| IIMF-F Fund | 22.18 0.29 1.32% |
Invesco |
Invesco International Target Price Odds to finish over 22.66
The tendency of Invesco Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 22.66 or more in 90 days |
| 22.18 | 90 days | 22.66 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco International to move over 22.66 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco International Developed probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco International price to stay between its current price of 22.18 and 22.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Invesco International has a beta of 0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Invesco International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco International Developed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco International Developed has an alpha of 0.0169, implying that it can generate a 0.0169 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Invesco International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Invesco International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco International Developed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Invesco International Technical Analysis
Invesco International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco International Developed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco International Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco International's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Invesco International in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Invesco International's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Invesco International options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Invesco Fund
Invesco International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco International security.
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