JPMIF Bond (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 222.84

IH59 Fund  EUR 230.31  2.31  1.01%   
JPMIF Bond's future price is the expected price of JPMIF Bond instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JPMIF Bond Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
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JPMIF Bond Target Price Odds to finish over 222.84

The tendency of JPMIF Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 222.84  in 90 days
 230.31 90 days 222.84 
about 81.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMIF Bond to stay above € 222.84  in 90 days from now is about 81.29 (This JPMIF Bond Fund probability density function shows the probability of JPMIF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMIF Bond Fund price to stay between € 222.84  and its current price of €230.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPMIF Bond Fund has a beta of -0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JPMIF Bond are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JPMIF Bond Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JPMIF Bond Fund has an alpha of 0.046, implying that it can generate a 0.046 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   JPMIF Bond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JPMIF Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMIF Bond Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
229.81230.31230.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
228.63229.13253.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
229.55230.05230.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
227.64229.65231.66
Details

JPMIF Bond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMIF Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMIF Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMIF Bond Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMIF Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
3.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

JPMIF Bond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMIF Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMIF Bond Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JPMIF Bond Fund is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

JPMIF Bond Technical Analysis

JPMIF Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMIF Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMIF Bond Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMIF Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JPMIF Bond Predictive Forecast Models

JPMIF Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMIF Bond's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMIF Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JPMIF Bond Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMIF Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMIF Bond Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JPMIF Bond Fund is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

Other Information on Investing in JPMIF Fund

JPMIF Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPMIF Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPMIF with respect to the benefits of owning JPMIF Bond security.
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