Institut IGH (Croatia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.66
| IGH Stock | 19.80 0.80 4.21% |
Institut |
Institut IGH Target Price Odds to finish below 13.66
The tendency of Institut Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.66 or more in 90 days |
| 19.80 | 90 days | 13.66 | about 6.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Institut IGH to drop to 13.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.65 (This Institut IGH dd probability density function shows the probability of Institut Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Institut IGH dd price to stay between 13.66 and its current price of 19.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Institut IGH dd has a beta of -0.47. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Institut IGH are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Institut IGH dd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Institut IGH dd has an alpha of 0.9799, implying that it can generate a 0.98 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Institut IGH Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Institut IGH
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Institut IGH dd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Institut IGH Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Institut IGH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Institut IGH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Institut IGH dd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Institut IGH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Institut IGH Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Institut IGH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Institut IGH dd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Institut IGH dd is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Institut IGH dd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Institut IGH dd has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Institut IGH Technical Analysis
Institut IGH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Institut Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Institut IGH dd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Institut Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Institut IGH Predictive Forecast Models
Institut IGH's time-series forecasting models is one of many Institut IGH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Institut IGH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Institut IGH dd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Institut IGH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Institut IGH dd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Institut IGH dd is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Institut IGH dd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Institut IGH dd has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Institut Stock
Institut IGH financial ratios help investors to determine whether Institut Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Institut with respect to the benefits of owning Institut IGH security.