Ivanhoe Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.05
| IE Stock | 11.94 1.10 8.44% |
Ivanhoe |
Ivanhoe Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 14.05
The tendency of Ivanhoe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 14.05 after 90 days |
| 11.94 | 90 days | 14.05 | about 77.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ivanhoe Energy to stay under 14.05 after 90 days from now is about 77.37 (This Ivanhoe Energy probability density function shows the probability of Ivanhoe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ivanhoe Energy price to stay between its current price of 11.94 and 14.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ivanhoe Energy has a beta of 0.48. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ivanhoe Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ivanhoe Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ivanhoe Energy has an alpha of 0.4265, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ivanhoe Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ivanhoe Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ivanhoe Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ivanhoe Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ivanhoe Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ivanhoe Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ivanhoe Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ivanhoe Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ivanhoe Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Ivanhoe Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ivanhoe Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ivanhoe Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ivanhoe Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (216.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.3 M. | |
| Ivanhoe Energy has accumulated about 357 K in cash with (150.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Ivanhoe Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ivanhoe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ivanhoe Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ivanhoe Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 205 M |
Ivanhoe Energy Technical Analysis
Ivanhoe Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ivanhoe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ivanhoe Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ivanhoe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ivanhoe Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Ivanhoe Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ivanhoe Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ivanhoe Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ivanhoe Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ivanhoe Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ivanhoe Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ivanhoe Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (216.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.3 M. | |
| Ivanhoe Energy has accumulated about 357 K in cash with (150.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Ivanhoe Stock
Ivanhoe Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ivanhoe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ivanhoe with respect to the benefits of owning Ivanhoe Energy security.