Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.8
| IDN Stock | USD 2.80 0.02 0.72% |
Intellicheck |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Target Price Odds to finish over 2.8
The tendency of Intellicheck Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.80 | 90 days | 2.80 | about 16.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intellicheck Mobilisa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.69 (This Intellicheck Mobilisa probability density function shows the probability of Intellicheck Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Intellicheck Mobilisa has a beta of 0.32. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Intellicheck Mobilisa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intellicheck Mobilisa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intellicheck Mobilisa has an alpha of 0.4499, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intellicheck Mobilisa Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Intellicheck Mobilisa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intellicheck Mobilisa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intellicheck Mobilisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intellicheck Mobilisa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intellicheck Mobilisa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intellicheck Mobilisa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intellicheck Mobilisa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intellicheck Mobilisa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intellicheck Mobilisa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intellicheck Mobilisa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.91 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.98 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 14.69 M. | |
| Intellicheck Mobilisa has about 11.96 M in cash with (647 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63. | |
| Intellicheck Mobilisa has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Bryan Lewis of 2500 shares of Intellicheck Mobilisa at 2.0661 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intellicheck Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intellicheck Mobilisa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intellicheck Mobilisa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9 M |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Technical Analysis
Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intellicheck Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intellicheck Mobilisa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intellicheck Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Predictive Forecast Models
Intellicheck Mobilisa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intellicheck Mobilisa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.