Icts International Nv Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 4.61
| ICTSF Stock | USD 4.80 0.30 6.67% |
ICTS |
ICTS International Target Price Odds to finish below 4.61
The tendency of ICTS OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.61 or more in 90 days |
| 4.80 | 90 days | 4.61 | about 35.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ICTS International to drop to $ 4.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 35.73 (This ICTS International NV probability density function shows the probability of ICTS OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ICTS International price to stay between $ 4.61 and its current price of $4.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.45 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ICTS International will likely underperform. Additionally ICTS International NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ICTS International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ICTS International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICTS International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICTS International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ICTS International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ICTS International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ICTS International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ICTS International NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ICTS International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
ICTS International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ICTS International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ICTS International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ICTS International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ICTS International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ICTS OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ICTS International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICTS International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.4 M |
ICTS International Technical Analysis
ICTS International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ICTS OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ICTS International NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing ICTS OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ICTS International Predictive Forecast Models
ICTS International's time-series forecasting models is one of many ICTS International's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ICTS International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ICTS International
Checking the ongoing alerts about ICTS International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ICTS International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ICTS International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in ICTS OTC Stock
ICTS International financial ratios help investors to determine whether ICTS OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ICTS with respect to the benefits of owning ICTS International security.