Intchains Group Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.07
| ICG Stock | 6.84 0.34 4.74% |
Intchains |
Intchains Group Target Price Odds to finish over 45.07
The tendency of Intchains Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 45.07 or more in 90 days |
| 6.84 | 90 days | 45.07 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intchains Group to move over 45.07 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Intchains Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of Intchains Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intchains Group price to stay between its current price of 6.84 and 45.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.58 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.5 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intchains Group will likely underperform. Additionally Intchains Group Limited has an alpha of 0.2496, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intchains Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intchains Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intchains Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intchains Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intchains Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intchains Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intchains Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intchains Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intchains Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Intchains Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intchains Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intchains Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intchains Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 82.22 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (26.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 386.72 M. | |
| Intchains Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Intchains Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DirectorPDMR Shareholding |
Intchains Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intchains Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intchains Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intchains Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 708.3 M |
Intchains Group Technical Analysis
Intchains Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intchains Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intchains Group Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intchains Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intchains Group Predictive Forecast Models
Intchains Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intchains Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intchains Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intchains Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intchains Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intchains Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intchains Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 82.22 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (26.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 386.72 M. | |
| Intchains Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Intchains Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DirectorPDMR Shareholding |
Check out Intchains Group Backtesting, Intchains Group Valuation, Intchains Group Correlation, Intchains Group Hype Analysis, Intchains Group Volatility, Intchains Group History as well as Intchains Group Performance. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intchains Group. If investors know Intchains will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intchains Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Earnings Share (0.11) | Revenue Per Share 3.163 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 7.851 | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Intchains Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intchains that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intchains Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intchains Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intchains Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intchains Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intchains Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intchains Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intchains Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.