Intermediate Capital (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2,121

ICG Stock   2,208  2.00  0.09%   
Intermediate Capital's future price is the expected price of Intermediate Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Intermediate Capital Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Intermediate Capital Backtesting, Intermediate Capital Valuation, Intermediate Capital Correlation, Intermediate Capital Hype Analysis, Intermediate Capital Volatility, Intermediate Capital History as well as Intermediate Capital Performance.
  
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Intermediate Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 2,121

The tendency of Intermediate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,208 90 days 2,208 
about 78.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intermediate Capital to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 78.75 (This Intermediate Capital Group probability density function shows the probability of Intermediate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intermediate Capital has a beta of 0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Intermediate Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intermediate Capital Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intermediate Capital Group has an alpha of 0.0526, implying that it can generate a 0.0526 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intermediate Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intermediate Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intermediate Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,2062,2082,210
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,8261,8282,429
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,3372,3382,340
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
39.2141.7945.61
Details

Intermediate Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intermediate Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intermediate Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intermediate Capital Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intermediate Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
89.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Intermediate Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intermediate Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intermediate Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intermediate Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intermediate Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock Increases Stake in Intermediate Capital Group - TipRanks

Intermediate Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intermediate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intermediate Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intermediate Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding292 M
Cash And Short Term Investments990 M

Intermediate Capital Technical Analysis

Intermediate Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intermediate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intermediate Capital Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intermediate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Intermediate Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Intermediate Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intermediate Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intermediate Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Intermediate Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intermediate Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intermediate Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intermediate Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intermediate Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock Increases Stake in Intermediate Capital Group - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in Intermediate Stock

Intermediate Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intermediate Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intermediate with respect to the benefits of owning Intermediate Capital security.