International Business Machines Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 124.99
| IBM Stock | USD 226.92 1.91 0.83% |
Closest to current price International long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
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International Business Target Price Odds to finish over 124.99
The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 124.99 in 90 days |
| 226.92 | 90 days | 124.99 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Business to stay above $ 124.99 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This International Business Machines probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Business price to stay between $ 124.99 and its current price of $226.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.87 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon International Business has a beta of 0.87. This usually indicates International Business Machines market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, International Business is expected to follow. Additionally International Business Machines has an alpha of 0.1271, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). International Business Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for International Business
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Business. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.International Business Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Business is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Business' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Business Machines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Business within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
International Business Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Business for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Business can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| International Business Machines has 59.94 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.67, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. International Business has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for International to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| International Business has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 63.0% of International Business shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: poll Will a Santa Claus rally push stocks higher into year-end |
International Business Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 922.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.4 B |
International Business Technical Analysis
International Business' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Business Machines. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
International Business Predictive Forecast Models
International Business' time-series forecasting models is one of many International Business' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Business' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about International Business
Checking the ongoing alerts about International Business for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Business help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| International Business Machines has 59.94 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.67, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. International Business has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for International to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| International Business has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 63.0% of International Business shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: poll Will a Santa Claus rally push stocks higher into year-end |
Check out International Business Backtesting, International Business Valuation, International Business Correlation, International Business Hype Analysis, International Business Volatility, International Business History as well as International Business Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Business. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.141 | Dividend Share 6.66 | Earnings Share 6.86 | Revenue Per Share 68.106 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.015 |
The market value of International Business is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.