IShares Govt (Netherlands) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 186.72
| IBGL Etf | EUR 183.58 1.48 0.80% |
IShares |
IShares Govt Target Price Odds to finish below 186.72
The tendency of IShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 186.72 after 90 days |
| 183.58 | 90 days | 186.72 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares Govt to stay under € 186.72 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This iShares Govt Bond probability density function shows the probability of IShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of iShares Govt Bond price to stay between its current price of € 183.58 and € 186.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon iShares Govt Bond has a beta of -0.0022. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IShares Govt are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, iShares Govt Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IShares Govt Bond has an alpha of 0.006, implying that it can generate a 0.005998 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). IShares Govt Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IShares Govt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Govt Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IShares Govt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares Govt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares Govt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iShares Govt Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares Govt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0022 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
IShares Govt Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IShares Govt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iShares Govt Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 99.96% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
IShares Govt Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IShares Govt's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IShares Govt's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 817 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 722 |
IShares Govt Technical Analysis
IShares Govt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iShares Govt Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing IShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IShares Govt Predictive Forecast Models
IShares Govt's time-series forecasting models is one of many IShares Govt's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IShares Govt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about iShares Govt Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about IShares Govt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iShares Govt Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 99.96% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in IShares Etf
IShares Govt financial ratios help investors to determine whether IShares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IShares with respect to the benefits of owning IShares Govt security.