Iargento (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 85.8

IARG Stock   86.30  3.60  4.35%   
Iargento's future price is the expected price of Iargento instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Iargento Hi Tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Iargento Backtesting, Iargento Valuation, Iargento Correlation, Iargento Hype Analysis, Iargento Volatility, Iargento History as well as Iargento Performance.
  
Please specify Iargento's target price for which you would like Iargento odds to be computed.

Iargento Target Price Odds to finish below 85.8

The tendency of Iargento Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  85.80  or more in 90 days
 86.30 90 days 85.80 
about 52.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iargento to drop to  85.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 52.51 (This Iargento Hi Tech probability density function shows the probability of Iargento Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iargento Hi Tech price to stay between  85.80  and its current price of 86.3 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.61 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Iargento will likely underperform. Additionally Iargento Hi Tech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Iargento Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Iargento

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iargento Hi Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.2386.3089.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.0373.1094.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.5480.6183.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.7784.9992.21
Details

Iargento Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iargento is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iargento's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iargento Hi Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iargento within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0014
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.61
σ
Overall volatility
7.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Iargento Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iargento for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iargento Hi Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iargento Hi Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Iargento Hi Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Iargento Technical Analysis

Iargento's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Iargento Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iargento Hi Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Iargento Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Iargento Predictive Forecast Models

Iargento's time-series forecasting models is one of many Iargento's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iargento's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Iargento Hi Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Iargento for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iargento Hi Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iargento Hi Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Iargento Hi Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Iargento Stock

Iargento financial ratios help investors to determine whether Iargento Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Iargento with respect to the benefits of owning Iargento security.