Hexcel Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 68.22
| HXL Stock | USD 62.53 0.53 0.84% |
Hexcel |
Hexcel Target Price Odds to finish over 68.22
The tendency of Hexcel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 68.22 or more in 90 days |
| 62.53 | 90 days | 68.22 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hexcel to move over $ 68.22 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hexcel probability density function shows the probability of Hexcel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hexcel price to stay between its current price of $ 62.53 and $ 68.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.3 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hexcel will likely underperform. Additionally Hexcel has an alpha of 0.0378, implying that it can generate a 0.0378 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hexcel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hexcel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hexcel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hexcel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hexcel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hexcel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hexcel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hexcel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hexcel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Hexcel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hexcel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hexcel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hexcel has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Hexcel paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Hexcels SWOT analysis aerospace materials stock poised for takeoff |
Hexcel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hexcel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hexcel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hexcel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 227 M |
Hexcel Technical Analysis
Hexcel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hexcel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hexcel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hexcel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hexcel Predictive Forecast Models
Hexcel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hexcel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hexcel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hexcel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hexcel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hexcel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hexcel has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Hexcel paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Hexcels SWOT analysis aerospace materials stock poised for takeoff |
Check out Hexcel Backtesting, Hexcel Valuation, Hexcel Correlation, Hexcel Hype Analysis, Hexcel Volatility, Hexcel History as well as Hexcel Performance. For more information on how to buy Hexcel Stock please use our How to buy in Hexcel Stock guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hexcel. If investors know Hexcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hexcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.085 | Dividend Share 0.575 | Earnings Share 1.31 | Revenue Per Share 22.704 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.088 |
The market value of Hexcel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hexcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hexcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hexcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hexcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hexcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hexcel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hexcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.