Hvidbjerg Bank (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 115.0

HVID Stock  DKK 119.00  2.00  1.71%   
Hvidbjerg Bank's future price is the expected price of Hvidbjerg Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hvidbjerg Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hvidbjerg Bank Backtesting, Hvidbjerg Bank Valuation, Hvidbjerg Bank Correlation, Hvidbjerg Bank Hype Analysis, Hvidbjerg Bank Volatility, Hvidbjerg Bank History as well as Hvidbjerg Bank Performance.
  
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Hvidbjerg Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 115.0

The tendency of Hvidbjerg Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 115.00  or more in 90 days
 119.00 90 days 115.00 
about 47.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hvidbjerg Bank to drop to kr 115.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 47.68 (This Hvidbjerg Bank probability density function shows the probability of Hvidbjerg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hvidbjerg Bank price to stay between kr 115.00  and its current price of kr119.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hvidbjerg Bank has a beta of 0.0633. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hvidbjerg Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hvidbjerg Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hvidbjerg Bank has an alpha of 0.0275, implying that it can generate a 0.0275 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hvidbjerg Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hvidbjerg Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hvidbjerg Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
117.88119.00120.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
115.88117.00130.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
117.28118.39119.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
116.45118.33120.22
Details

Hvidbjerg Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hvidbjerg Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hvidbjerg Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hvidbjerg Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hvidbjerg Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
2.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Hvidbjerg Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hvidbjerg Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hvidbjerg Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hvidbjerg Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hvidbjerg Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hvidbjerg Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hvidbjerg Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments375.5 M

Hvidbjerg Bank Technical Analysis

Hvidbjerg Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hvidbjerg Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hvidbjerg Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hvidbjerg Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hvidbjerg Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Hvidbjerg Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hvidbjerg Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hvidbjerg Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hvidbjerg Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hvidbjerg Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hvidbjerg Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Hvidbjerg Stock

Hvidbjerg Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hvidbjerg Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hvidbjerg with respect to the benefits of owning Hvidbjerg Bank security.