Hang Lung Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.10

HNLGF Stock  USD 1.27  0.00  0.00%   
Hang Lung's future price is the expected price of Hang Lung instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hang Lung Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hang Lung Backtesting, Hang Lung Valuation, Hang Lung Correlation, Hang Lung Hype Analysis, Hang Lung Volatility, Hang Lung History as well as Hang Lung Performance.
  
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Hang Lung Target Price Odds to finish below 1.10

The tendency of Hang Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 1.10  or more in 90 days
 1.27 90 days 1.10 
about 23.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hang Lung to drop to $ 1.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.19 (This Hang Lung Group probability density function shows the probability of Hang Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hang Lung Group price to stay between $ 1.10  and its current price of $1.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.58 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hang Lung Group has a beta of -0.0561. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hang Lung are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hang Lung Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hang Lung Group has an alpha of 0.2171, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hang Lung Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hang Lung

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hang Lung Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.273.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.183.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hang Lung. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hang Lung's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hang Lung's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hang Lung Group.

Hang Lung Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hang Lung is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hang Lung's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hang Lung Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hang Lung within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Hang Lung Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hang Lung for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hang Lung Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hang Lung Group may become a speculative penny stock
About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hang Lung Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hang Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hang Lung's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hang Lung's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B

Hang Lung Technical Analysis

Hang Lung's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hang Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hang Lung Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hang Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hang Lung Predictive Forecast Models

Hang Lung's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hang Lung's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hang Lung's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hang Lung Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hang Lung for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hang Lung Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hang Lung Group may become a speculative penny stock
About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Hang Pink Sheet

Hang Lung financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hang Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hang with respect to the benefits of owning Hang Lung security.