HATTON NATIONAL (Sri Lanka) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 135.5
| HNBX0000 | LKR 192.00 3.00 1.59% |
HATTON |
HATTON NATIONAL Target Price Odds to finish below 135.5
The tendency of HATTON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 135.50 or more in 90 days |
| 192.00 | 90 days | 135.50 | roughly 2.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HATTON NATIONAL to drop to 135.50 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.66 (This HATTON NATIONAL BANK probability density function shows the probability of HATTON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HATTON NATIONAL BANK price to stay between 135.50 and its current price of 192.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HATTON NATIONAL BANK has a beta of -0.27. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HATTON NATIONAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HATTON NATIONAL BANK is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HATTON NATIONAL BANK has an alpha of 0.5991, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HATTON NATIONAL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HATTON NATIONAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HATTON NATIONAL BANK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HATTON NATIONAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HATTON NATIONAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HATTON NATIONAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HATTON NATIONAL BANK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HATTON NATIONAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
HATTON NATIONAL Technical Analysis
HATTON NATIONAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HATTON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HATTON NATIONAL BANK. In general, you should focus on analyzing HATTON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HATTON NATIONAL Predictive Forecast Models
HATTON NATIONAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many HATTON NATIONAL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HATTON NATIONAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards HATTON NATIONAL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, HATTON NATIONAL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from HATTON NATIONAL options trading.
Other Information on Investing in HATTON Stock
HATTON NATIONAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether HATTON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HATTON with respect to the benefits of owning HATTON NATIONAL security.