Houlihan Lokey Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 186.80
| HLI Stock | USD 177.37 2.82 1.57% |
Houlihan |
Houlihan Lokey Target Price Odds to finish over 186.80
The tendency of Houlihan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 186.80 or more in 90 days |
| 177.37 | 90 days | 186.80 | about 10.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Houlihan Lokey to move over $ 186.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.13 (This Houlihan Lokey probability density function shows the probability of Houlihan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Houlihan Lokey price to stay between its current price of $ 177.37 and $ 186.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.33 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.65 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Houlihan Lokey will likely underperform. Additionally Houlihan Lokey has an alpha of 0.0493, implying that it can generate a 0.0493 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Houlihan Lokey Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Houlihan Lokey
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Houlihan Lokey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Houlihan Lokey Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Houlihan Lokey is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Houlihan Lokey's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Houlihan Lokey, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Houlihan Lokey within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Houlihan Lokey Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Houlihan Lokey for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Houlihan Lokey can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Houlihan Lokey has 415.41 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.13, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Houlihan Lokey has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Houlihan to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 100.0% of Houlihan Lokey shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Ousted CEO Plots Return to End Possible Equity Wipeout at Grover |
Houlihan Lokey Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Houlihan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Houlihan Lokey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Houlihan Lokey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 728.8 M |
Houlihan Lokey Technical Analysis
Houlihan Lokey's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Houlihan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Houlihan Lokey. In general, you should focus on analyzing Houlihan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Houlihan Lokey Predictive Forecast Models
Houlihan Lokey's time-series forecasting models is one of many Houlihan Lokey's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Houlihan Lokey's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Houlihan Lokey
Checking the ongoing alerts about Houlihan Lokey for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Houlihan Lokey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Houlihan Lokey has 415.41 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.13, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Houlihan Lokey has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Houlihan to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 100.0% of Houlihan Lokey shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Ousted CEO Plots Return to End Possible Equity Wipeout at Grover |
Check out Houlihan Lokey Backtesting, Houlihan Lokey Valuation, Houlihan Lokey Correlation, Houlihan Lokey Hype Analysis, Houlihan Lokey Volatility, Houlihan Lokey History as well as Houlihan Lokey Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Houlihan Stock please use our How to Invest in Houlihan Lokey guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Houlihan Lokey. If investors know Houlihan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Houlihan Lokey listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.384 | Dividend Share 2.24 | Earnings Share 4.88 | Revenue Per Share 32.632 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.231 |
The market value of Houlihan Lokey is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Houlihan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Houlihan Lokey's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Houlihan Lokey's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Houlihan Lokey's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Houlihan Lokey's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Houlihan Lokey's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Houlihan Lokey is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Houlihan Lokey's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.