Hundredfold Select Alternative Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 24.44

HFSAX Fund  USD 24.84  0.09  0.36%   
Hundredfold Select's future price is the expected price of Hundredfold Select instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hundredfold Select Alternative performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hundredfold Select Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Hundredfold Select Correlation, Hundredfold Select Hype Analysis, Hundredfold Select Volatility, Hundredfold Select History as well as Hundredfold Select Performance.
  
Please specify Hundredfold Select's target price for which you would like Hundredfold Select odds to be computed.

Hundredfold Select Target Price Odds to finish below 24.44

The tendency of Hundredfold Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 24.44  or more in 90 days
 24.84 90 days 24.44 
about 50.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hundredfold Select to drop to $ 24.44  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.57 (This Hundredfold Select Alternative probability density function shows the probability of Hundredfold Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hundredfold Select price to stay between $ 24.44  and its current price of $24.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hundredfold Select has a beta of 0.0746. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hundredfold Select average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hundredfold Select Alternative will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hundredfold Select Alternative has an alpha of 0.0325, implying that it can generate a 0.0325 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hundredfold Select Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hundredfold Select

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hundredfold Select. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.5624.8425.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.4424.7225.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.6124.8925.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.5524.7024.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hundredfold Select. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hundredfold Select's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hundredfold Select's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hundredfold Select.

Hundredfold Select Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hundredfold Select is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hundredfold Select's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hundredfold Select Alternative, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hundredfold Select within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

Hundredfold Select Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hundredfold Select for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hundredfold Select can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 47.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Hundredfold Select Technical Analysis

Hundredfold Select's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hundredfold Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hundredfold Select Alternative. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hundredfold Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hundredfold Select Predictive Forecast Models

Hundredfold Select's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hundredfold Select's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hundredfold Select's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hundredfold Select

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hundredfold Select for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hundredfold Select help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 47.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Hundredfold Mutual Fund

Hundredfold Select financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hundredfold Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hundredfold with respect to the benefits of owning Hundredfold Select security.
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