Heng Leasing (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.17
| HENG Stock | 1.18 0.04 3.51% |
Heng |
Heng Leasing Target Price Odds to finish below 1.17
The tendency of Heng Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.17 or more in 90 days |
| 1.18 | 90 days | 1.17 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Heng Leasing to drop to 1.17 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Heng Leasing Capital probability density function shows the probability of Heng Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Heng Leasing Capital price to stay between 1.17 and its current price of 1.18 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Heng Leasing Capital has a beta of -0.74. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Heng Leasing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Heng Leasing Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Heng Leasing Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Heng Leasing Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Heng Leasing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Heng Leasing Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Heng Leasing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Heng Leasing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Heng Leasing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Heng Leasing Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Heng Leasing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Heng Leasing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Heng Leasing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Heng Leasing Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Heng Leasing Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Heng Leasing Capital may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Heng Leasing Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Heng Leasing generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Heng Leasing Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Heng Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Heng Leasing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Heng Leasing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 B |
Heng Leasing Technical Analysis
Heng Leasing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Heng Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Heng Leasing Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Heng Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Heng Leasing Predictive Forecast Models
Heng Leasing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Heng Leasing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Heng Leasing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Heng Leasing Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Heng Leasing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Heng Leasing Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Heng Leasing Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Heng Leasing Capital may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Heng Leasing Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Heng Leasing generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Heng Stock
Heng Leasing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Heng Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Heng with respect to the benefits of owning Heng Leasing security.