Harbor Custom Development Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 4.0

HCDIPDelisted Preferred Stock  USD 5.13  0.12  2.29%   
Harbor Custom's future price is the expected price of Harbor Custom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Harbor Custom Development performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
  
Please specify Harbor Custom's target price for which you would like Harbor Custom odds to be computed.

Harbor Custom Target Price Odds to finish below 4.0

The tendency of Harbor Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.00  or more in 90 days
 5.13 90 days 4.00 
about 11.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harbor Custom to drop to $ 4.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.84 (This Harbor Custom Development probability density function shows the probability of Harbor Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Harbor Custom Development price to stay between $ 4.00  and its current price of $5.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Harbor Custom Development has a beta of -1.37. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Harbor Custom Development are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Harbor Custom is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Harbor Custom Development has an alpha of 0.8888, implying that it can generate a 0.89 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Harbor Custom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Harbor Custom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harbor Custom Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.135.135.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.324.325.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.474.474.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.055.245.42
Details

Harbor Custom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harbor Custom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harbor Custom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harbor Custom Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harbor Custom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.89
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Harbor Custom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harbor Custom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harbor Custom Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Harbor Custom is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Harbor Custom has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Harbor Custom Development has accumulated 5.27 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.05, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Harbor Custom Development has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Harbor Custom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Harbor Custom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Harbor Custom Development sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Harbor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Harbor Custom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Harbor Custom Development has accumulated about 22.02 M in cash with (86.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.53.
Over 93.0% of Harbor Custom shares are owned by institutional investors

Harbor Custom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Harbor Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Harbor Custom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harbor Custom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.6 M

Harbor Custom Technical Analysis

Harbor Custom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Harbor Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Harbor Custom Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing Harbor Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Harbor Custom Predictive Forecast Models

Harbor Custom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Harbor Custom's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Harbor Custom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Harbor Custom Development

Checking the ongoing alerts about Harbor Custom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Harbor Custom Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Harbor Custom is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Harbor Custom has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Harbor Custom Development has accumulated 5.27 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.05, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Harbor Custom Development has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Harbor Custom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Harbor Custom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Harbor Custom Development sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Harbor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Harbor Custom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Harbor Custom Development has accumulated about 22.02 M in cash with (86.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.53.
Over 93.0% of Harbor Custom shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Other Consideration for investing in Harbor Preferred Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Harbor Custom Development check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Harbor Custom's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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