CHINA WATER (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.04
| HAU2 Stock | 0.03 0.02 40.00% |
CHINA |
CHINA WATER Target Price Odds to finish over 0.04
The tendency of CHINA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 87.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHINA WATER to move over 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 87.36 (This CHINA WATER IGR probability density function shows the probability of CHINA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHINA WATER IGR price to stay between its current price of 0.03 and 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.38 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CHINA WATER will likely underperform. Additionally CHINA WATER IGR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CHINA WATER Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CHINA WATER
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHINA WATER IGR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CHINA WATER. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CHINA WATER's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CHINA WATER's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CHINA WATER IGR.CHINA WATER Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHINA WATER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHINA WATER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHINA WATER IGR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHINA WATER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
CHINA WATER Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHINA WATER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHINA WATER IGR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CHINA WATER IGR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CHINA WATER IGR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CHINA WATER IGR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
CHINA WATER Technical Analysis
CHINA WATER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHINA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHINA WATER IGR. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHINA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CHINA WATER Predictive Forecast Models
CHINA WATER's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHINA WATER's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHINA WATER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CHINA WATER IGR
Checking the ongoing alerts about CHINA WATER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHINA WATER IGR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CHINA WATER IGR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CHINA WATER IGR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CHINA WATER IGR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |